Sunday, May 09, 2010

Hot time in Kandahar City? And CF?

The US Army has new troops it can deploy to the city:
...
Current plans call for U.S. and Afghan troops to work on flushing Taliban fighters from villages and towns surrounding Kandahar and gaining control of the main routes in and out of the city.

Most Western forces will be housed in bases on the city's outskirts, according to officers familiar with the planning. But U.S. forces also plan to build small outposts in many of Kandahar's neighborhoods—a tactic first used in Iraq [emphasis added]...
Now from Matthew Fisher of Canwest News:
Battle for Kandahar could turn into deadly urban fight

KABUL — Canadian and American troops will probably be drawn into fighting the Taliban inside Kandahar City — a task that can quickly turn nasty — during the unfolding offensive that is expected to begin soon, a NATO official says for the first time.

"But actions by NATO forces in the provincial capital will be targeted and precise," and would not involve clearing operations in the classic military sense, Mark Sedwill, NATO's senior civilian representative in Afghanistan, says.

"It is quite likely that in some areas there will be resistance and that is why the military forces have to be strong enough and well-equipped enough to deal with that effectively."

Urban warfare is something that Canada and its allies have tried to avoid in Afghanistan, with officials previously suggesting that the potentially decisive battle of the nearly decade-long Afghan war would only take place around the provincial capital and not in the city itself...

This time, NATO will "really stand up the police capability on the streets of Kandahar City and the areas immediately around it, with Afghan and ISAF forces standing one step behind them."

Even then, according to Sedwill, who is responsible for politics, development and governance, solving Kandahar's political problems would prove more difficult than winning the military part of the equation.

"You can have a military phase of the operation that works brilliantly, but if we do not solve the politics it is going to anesthetize the problem and not solve it," he said. "If we don't solve the politics and move our (military) efforts elsewhere or draw down our efforts, it would unravel quickly. You can't have a comprehensive effect unless you have a comprehensive approach."..
As for the political side (read also governance), see this post.

To what extent will Canadians will be drawn into Kandahar City? It looks largely a US area from the first quote above. Especially in light of this:
...
Now, Canadian combat troops are working almost exclusively in Panjwaii [emphasis added], attempting to secure population centres by keeping a solid presence in a more limited area...
And this:

Despite a massive U.S. troop buildup in southern Afghanistan, Canada will take the lead in securing the Taliban stronghold in western Panjwaii district, according to the commander of all Canadian troops overseas.

"Definitely, Canada will have the major role in that area," Lt.-Gen. Marc Lessard said during a visit to the region. "The Canadian troops are there."

Canadian soldiers in western Panjwaii operate primarily out of two bases, Masum Ghar and Sperwan Ghar...

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