Wednesday, July 23, 2008

Greater restrictions on air strikes in Afstan

Will the anti-combat types notice? Our media? And note who's killing most of the civilians:
Dawn was breaking over Afghanistan one day this month as Air Force surveillance planes locked in on a top-ranking insurgent commander as he traveled in secret around Kandahar, the spiritual home of the Taliban.

But as attack aircraft were summoned overhead to strike, according to a recounting of the mission by Air Force commanders, the Taliban leader entered a building. Intelligence specialists scrambled to determine whether civilians were inside. Weapons experts calculated what bomb could destroy the structure with the least damage.

It had taken the American military many days to identify, track and target the senior Taliban officer. But the risk of civilian deaths was deemed too high. Air Force commanders, working with military lawyers, aborted the mission. The Taliban leader escaped.

“We miss the opportunity, but the beauty of what we do is we will get them eventually,” said Lt. Gen. Gary L. North, commander of American and allied air forces in the Middle East and Southwest Asia. “We will continue to track them. Eventually, we will get to the point where we can achieve — within the constraints of which we operate, which by the way the enemy does not operate under — and we will get them.”

In interviews at the air operations headquarters in Southwest Asia, American and allied commanders said that even as orders for air attacks in Afghanistan had increased significantly this year, their ability to strike top insurgent leaders from the air was severely restricted by rules intended to minimize civilian casualties.

The rules that govern dropping bombs and firing missiles are far more restrictive now in Afghanistan than in Iraq, senior Pentagon and military officials say.

The rules of engagement were reviewed and tightened in 2007 after a spate of civilian casualties, under Gen. Dan K. McNeill, then the top NATO commander in Afghanistan, and reviewed and revised again in April, officials said [emphasis added].

American commanders acknowledge that civilian casualties undermine support for the NATO-led stability mission exactly at a time when the Taliban is experiencing a potent resurgence across the country. They say Afghan officials, including President Hamid Karzai, routinely complain about civilian deaths in meetings with Americans.

Military officers also acknowledge that their control over airstrikes is reduced when crews scramble to help NATO contingents under attack.

But air commanders say they have a commitment to support ground forces in trouble. Only last weekend, nine Afghan police officers were killed in western Afghanistan when Afghan and United States forces called in airstrikes on the officers, thinking they were militants.

According to the United Nations, 698 civilians were killed in the first six months of this year, compared with 430 in the same period last year. The United Nations report said nearly two-thirds of the deaths this year resulted from actions by the Taliban and other insurgents [emphasis added]. The remainder were attributed to actions by Afghan government, American or allied forces...
Note also that if fatalities continue at the current rate there will be some 1,400 for the whole year. In Iraq, with a smaller population, there were 27,538 civilian deaths in 2006 according to Iraq Body Count (see "Monthly table")--and even this year, after the surge, there have been 4,875 there.

So, when you see media stories saying civilian deaths in Afstan are up 50%, take the context into consideration.

Update: Nonetheless:
Civilian Airstrike Deaths Probed
78 Have Died in Three Incidents This Month Alone, Afghan Officials Say

6 Comments:

Blogger Dave in Pa. said...

"...But the risk of civilian deaths was deemed too high. Air Force commanders, working with military lawyers, aborted the mission. The Taliban leader escaped."

"We miss the opportunity, but the beauty of what we do is we will get them eventually," said Lt. Gen. Gary L. North, commander of American and allied air forces in the Middle East and Southwest Asia." That definitely sets off my BS Detector. SPIN!

Lawyers making operational military decisions?! IMO, lawyers have no place in military ops management. General and field grade officers are intelligent enough and have had enough training and experience (and legal background training) to make these operational decisions. As such, they ought to have operational authority unfettered by lawyers looking over their shoulders. And these officers should always be given a large benefit of the doubt whenever there's any problem.

BTW, there was another, even worse, incident at the beginning of the Af-stan liberation, which became public knowledge. At one point, US Military Intel. literally had Mullah Omar in their sites. UAVs overhead. The officers wanted to call in an immediate airstrike to send the Mullah to his 72 virgins. However, they had to get approval from a senior military lawyer. He delayed giving his approval, which, after legal navel-gazing, he gave too late. Mullah Omar had gone to ground and the opportunity to kill the leader of the Taliban was gone. That was around six years ago and, contrary to General North's spin, Mullah Omar is still around, leading the Taliban in murdering Afghans and Allied troops.

In a sane, non-PC, non-CYA world, a General could say to intrusive military lawyers, "I'll make you a deal. I'll not to try to practice law and you'll not to try to command military combat operations. Now, get the hell out of this command post!"

4:53 p.m., July 23, 2008  
Blogger Freelance Writer said...

Dave, I think the lawyer is there to protect the general and the mission. Especially in a tribal context, civilian deaths can create fresh combatants. After a compelling presentation at the CDA, Vanguard magazine asked Tom Johnson to write up some of his thoughts. (Disclaimer here - I write for Vanguard.)
http://www.vanguardcanada.com/AfghanTribalPoliticsJohnson

7:48 a.m., July 24, 2008  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

Gee, I wonder what the Taliban's lawyer would have recommended if the tables had been turned ?

Maybe they could call long distance and get a consult from a recognized international relations expert like Mr. Byers or a professor like Mr. Attaran.

I wonder what they would say ?

9:00 a.m., July 24, 2008  
Blogger Mark, Ottawa said...

Here's freelance writer's link.

Mark
Ottawa

9:15 a.m., July 24, 2008  
Blogger Dave in Pa. said...

"Dave, I think the lawyer is there to protect the general and the mission. Especially in a tribal context, civilian deaths can create fresh combatants."

While I agree that is part of the reason for their presence, I see their presence and participation (with inevitable delays as referenced in the article and my previous comment) at least as operationally counter-productive, at worst even destructive.

How does the lawyer provide this protection exactly? What does he/she bring to the table that is lacked by generals and colonels with many years of training, experience and huge amounts of professional expertise?

Lawyers, with precisely zero training and experience in the infantry, incapable of flying a single engine Cessna, much less a $50 million tactical fighter bomber, would even find it impossible to visualize the tactical situation, empathize with the pressures troops on the ground or in the flyers must face as they perform their missions.

Lawyers have neither the skills nor the experience to be making such calls. The world of the lawyer, sitting in his safe, antiseptic office, is so vastly different from the world of the combat soldier or combat pilot that neither he/she nor most civilians can really comprehend the reality in which these warriors must successfully function.

Moreover, if a battle is lost or a bombing mission misses it's target, or things otherwise go awry, who bears the consequences? Certainly not the lawyer! The troops on the ground certainly pay. The pilots flying the fighter/bombers may well pay also. The Afghan civilians left bearing the consequences of Taliban or Al Qaeda depredations will surely pay.

The lawyer will not pay. Unless he/she is a totally different genus than the rest of the legal population, the lawyer has first approached his/her task by preparing a layer of self-defence from any adverse consequences. However we may spin the words, lawyers are inherently trained to think CYA. The lawyer can always say "I didn't give the order, I merely advised of certain potential risks to Colonel ____, who gave the order." As always, the operational officers in the chain of command are the ones held wholly accountable, while simultaneously effectively reducing their authority.

This lawyer thing is a classic example of effectively giving people authority without commensurate responsibility. In any environment, that's a formula for trouble, certainly not one for advancing a military objective.

12:12 p.m., July 24, 2008  
Blogger Freelance Writer said...

Dave, I disagree with nothing you say. But they are there now, and I would be surprised to see them go.

5:00 p.m., July 24, 2008  

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