Monday, June 25, 2007

Afstan: What our lack of stomach means

If, as I think, the mission has important purposes (preventing a return of the Taliban, with all that would mean for Afghan society and in terms of al Qaeda's again having a haven with full state support) it is distressing that most Canadians appear to have given up so easily.

I know the government has done a very poor job of explaining the mission. I know the Liberal Party is simply and irresponsibly playing politics with the mission (the NDP are sincere in their pacificism but fools; who cares about the Bloc?). I know that our media have: 1) an Oprah-like fixation on the death of troops; 2) a pattern of highlighting things that help discredit the mission (detainee abuse, civilian deaths); and, 3) a strong tendency to ignore either success in battle or in reconstruction.

It still is illuminating about Canada that the 52 fatalities we have suffered in sixteen months of the Kandahar deployment seem to have proven sufficient to prevent the extension of that combat mission past February, 2009. In other words those deaths are what it has taken for the Taliban to defeat Canada. Not militarily, but psychologically and politically. We are indeed a weak horse, to use bin Laden's image.

No doubt the Taliban will trumpet our cravenness to the Afghan people, thus weakening their stomach to resist the Islamic extremists and to have patience with the struggle in the hope that effective Afghan government military and security forces can be created over the next few years. We Canadians certainly have no patience.

Assuming we do withdraw from combat in 2009--and effectively from the Anglosphere--I'm pretty certain other members (US, UK, Australia) will take our place, especially as they will have much smaller commitments in Iraq. Maybe with an enlarged central and eastern European contribution. While Canada will lose a considerable part of the credit we have gained with our closest allies.

Two columnists in the Toronto Sun well demonstrate the attitudes that have led to our apparently giving up:

1) Lorrie Goldstein:
The reality Harper faces is that while Canadians are deeply divided on the Kandahar mission and most want us out of Afghanistan by 2009, military experts have repeatedly warned NATO's mission there will have to continue long after 2009 -- maybe for decades -- to be successful.

There is, understandably, no enthusiasm among Canadians for seeing increasing numbers of our soldiers coming home from Afghanistan in coffins indefinitely [so let's just fly away in 2009, regardless of the situation, Mr Goldstein].

Nor should there be. If NATO wants Canada to recommit to the Afghanistan mission beyond 2009, it must first do so itself.
2) Greg Weston:
...once again, public opinion has been shaken by the deaths of native sons in a war already bleeding support among Canadians of all ages and in all regions.

While the degree of progress being made by the Canadian forces and their NATO allies in Kandahar remains a matter of contention, there seems little question the Conservative government is losing ground on the public relations front here at home...

How public opinion turned south on Afghanistan is obviously a complex matrix of factors, not the least of which has been an abysmal failure of government communications. Think about it: What are the most enduring images of Afghanistan that come to mind? A picture of humanitarian aid? Of reconstruction projects? Of social development? Of happy Afghans going about their daily business in peace?

More likely, it is something like the well-worn loop of network tape that routinely punctuates nightly newscasts, a clip showing a handful of Canadian soldiers firing their guns over a dirt wall at an unseen enemy [we hardly ever see that these days, Mr Weston]...

...Rather than aggressively using the media to help frame the Afghan mission as a difficult humanitarian effort in a dangerous environment [what do you think the embed program is all about, Mr Weston?], Harper's failed spin machine has allowed the conflict to be framed by deaths, official snafus and other negative events [that's what the media have chosen to emphasize, Mr Weston].

Public relations disasters simply don't get much worse than the cock-up over Afghan detainees, or a fallen soldier's parents publicly begging the government for money to bury their son...

In a chilling interview with the BBC this week, Taliban spokesman Zabiyullah Mujahed said his forces have one main objective: Killing NATO soldiers [emphasis added].

"We are certain we will win, because for us independence is important. For the NATO forces, the lives of their soldiers are important. There will be a big fuss in the Western parliaments, asking that their sons should not be killed in Afghanistan.

"This means we will defeat them [emphasis added]."
Well, they seem to have beaten us already. That will simply encourage more deadly violence by Islamic extremists everywhere, while adding to their belief that they can defeat a decadent, kafir, West. And smug, peace-loving Canadians will bear a degree of responsibility for those deaths.

Update: Former external affairs minister, Flora MacDonald (now 81), spends some time in Afghanistan and illustrates why we should be there. Good on the Globe and Mail's Jeffrey Simpson for writing this column. Andrew Coyne, for his part, disagrees with the interpretation in this post but I think his argument is rather thin.

Upperdate:
An excellent letter in the Globe from a CF member just returned from Afghanistan.

8 Comments:

Blogger RGM said...

As disappointing as it is to admit, you may well be right, Mark. Canada has, for a long time now, been demonstrating that it no longer wishes to fight the war on terror; we're far from alone, as much of the West--save the United States and Britain--made similar decisions going back as early as 2002. What makes it so disheartening is that the gadflies and the peaceniks in both the NDP and the Liberal Party have been getting their message out almost uncontested. The Tories are near-absent on the PR front; perhaps they believe that the mission's core principles and values speak strongly enough for themselves--I believe that they do, and I'm sure that you would agree that this conflict embodies the paradigm that Canada should be pursuing. Sadly, that has not proven true. It is not the first time that the left has sabotaged Canada's national interests without contest. But this one will hurt the most should they ultimately get their way.

5:12 p.m., June 25, 2007  
Blogger Mark, Ottawa said...

RGM: I like your profile:

"Rather than any single party, I seek to advance the interests of Canada."

And esp. the Stones and "Five Days in London: May 1940".

That's the spirit!

Mark
Ottawa

5:30 p.m., June 25, 2007  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

what gets me is the NDP + other leftoids, blinded by the obsession with peace at any cost, are so willing to sacrifice the very people they profess to represent - women, children gays et al, to the mad cruelty of the 13th century thuggery we call the Taliban. Tens of thousands will be condemmed to death, but we won't have "war".

The Canadian Progressive's are immoral. They are narrow minded zealots full of self admiration but little awareness of reality.

It is so much like the 1930's all over again. No war at any cost, its not my problem.

I also concur with the terrible lack of public relations the government has done. They have allowed the socialist MSM to define to "War" and "fighting for Bush" as the general political narrative instead of identifying this as a UN security Council mission of Force Protection that is authorized to use Combat as a technique to help the long suffering people of Afghanistan establish their form of democracy, their form of government, free of foreign intervention by the Taliban. Our role is to buy time for Afghanistan to succedd. That will be our victory. That will be teh worl's victory.

At least some people care. A story today in the Tor Sun, one you can bet the CBC won't cover - it goes against their "we are fighting Bush's war theme"

http://www.torontosun.com/News/Canada/2007/06/25/4288192-sun.html

7:55 p.m., June 25, 2007  
Blogger Mark, Ottawa said...

Fred: Here's the TinyURL for the piece I think you have in mind:

"The road to honour"
http://tinyurl.com/2hryn4

This column by Joe Warmington is good too:

"Serving coffee in Kandahar"
http://tinyurl.com/2qz64z

Mark
Ottawa

8:17 p.m., June 25, 2007  
Blogger RGM said...

Thanks Mark, much appreciated.

The national interest is something that our political parties often subordinate to their own political interests, and that's helped put us in the position that we are now, in my view. Call it a perpetual campaign cycle or whatever, but speaking in broad strategic terms seems to have taken a decided back seat (trunk?) to speaking in soundbites.

9:10 p.m., June 25, 2007  
Anonymous Anonymous said...

ahhhh soory . . truncation in a comments box.

This story . . . just stitch the URL into one line.

I appreciated Joe's story as well . . . but this one really moved me.


http://www.torontosun.com/News/

Canada/2007/06/25/4288192-sun.html

9:27 p.m., June 25, 2007  
Blogger JR said...

Great post Mark. Sad but true.

9:58 p.m., June 25, 2007  
Blogger Paul Charlton said...

I don't have any family in Afstan, so my opinion pales in comparison, but if I had a loved one killed in battle, I would want them to have been killed in a battle/war we eventually won. There is no lonelier death than that of soldier killed in a lost war. We owe it to the fallen to be totally victorious in this war, whether you support the effort or not.

10:56 p.m., June 25, 2007  

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